Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Rask 50.4% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Rask 51.9%
Defensive zone
Thornton 50.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 51.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Thornton
Rask
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
50.6% (172)
-7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, Rask has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Rask is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Thornton
Rask
Home
41.5% (106)
53.7% (82)
Away
47.8% (69)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Thornton
Rask
P1
50.8%
56.0%
P2
41.0%
47.5%
P3
40.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%