Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Veleno 49.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 68.8%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 66.0%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 69.4%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Sillinger
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Sillinger
Veleno
Last 8: Sillinger 1-7 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
2
Sillinger
Veleno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
3
Sillinger
Veleno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
2
Sillinger
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
48.4% (531)
-1.0%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
56.3% (64)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
44.4% (27)
-8.0%
On power play, Veleno has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Veleno
Home
45.9% (488)
48.8% (289)
Away
46.7% (484)
49.2% (333)
By Period
Sillinger
Veleno
P1
45.0%
46.1%
P2
44.5%
50.9%
P3
49.5%
49.7%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:51 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |