Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Ward 48.4% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Veleno 51.4%
Defensive zone
Ward 50.5%
Neutral zone
Veleno 50.5%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Veleno
Ward
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,301)
51.3% (1,186)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
53.4% (238)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (82)
35.5% (366)
-1.4%
On even strength, Ward has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Veleno is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (873).
Veleno shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Veleno
Ward
Home
45.3% (1,136)
50.3% (870)
Away
48.6% (1,345)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Veleno
Ward
P1
47.8%
47.6%
P2
47.5%
47.5%
P3
46.1%
50.3%
OT
35.7%
30.8%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.1%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%