Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 51.1% vs Tavares 57.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 71.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Veleno
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Veleno
Tavares
Last 6: Veleno 3-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Veleno
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (272)
58.0% (914)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
57.9% (19)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Veleno is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Veleno shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Veleno
Tavares
Home
49.6% (123)
57.8% (614)
Away
52.8% (178)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Veleno
Tavares
P1
54.8%
58.0%
P2
49.2%
56.9%
P3
52.6%
58.4%
OT
25.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
60.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 04:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |