Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 47.6%). Look for Kirkland on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kirkland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Kirkland 48.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 52.2%
Defensive zone
Kirkland 59.5%
Neutral zone
Kirkland 52.9%
Result
Justin Kirkland favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Veleno
Kirkland
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Veleno
Kirkland
Last 7: Veleno 1-6 Kirkland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kirkland
0
2
Veleno
Kirkland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Kirkland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kirkland
0
3
Veleno
Kirkland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kirkland
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
49.1% (230)
-1.7%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
0.0% (1)
+51.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
38.9% (36)
-2.5%
On power play, Veleno has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kirkland shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Veleno shoots left. Kirkland is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kirkland
Home
45.3% (1,136)
48.0% (148)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
47.1% (119)
By Period
Veleno
Kirkland
P1
48.0%
55.1%
P2
47.7%
46.0%
P3
45.9%
41.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Kirkland
44.0%▼
46.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Justin Kirkland |