Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Couture 48.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 50.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 50.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 50.6%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Veleno
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Veleno
Couture
Last 7: Veleno 3-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Veleno
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
1
Veleno
Couture
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Veleno
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
48.8% (8,919)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
54.6% (624)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
39.8% (992)
-3.4%
On power play, Couture has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Veleno shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Veleno
Couture
Home
45.3% (1,136)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Veleno
Couture
P1
48.0%
47.9%
P2
47.7%
47.9%
P3
45.9%
49.2%
OT
35.7%
48.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |