Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Couture 47.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 61.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 52.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 56.1%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Veleno
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Veleno
Couture
Last 6: Veleno 2-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Veleno
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Couture
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Veleno
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
49.2% (1,083)
-6.3%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
56.7% (60)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
35.4% (206)
-2.1%
On power play, Couture has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Veleno
Couture
Home
40.7% (327)
49.6% (713)
Away
44.4% (324)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Veleno
Couture
P1
43.2%
47.2%
P2
42.0%
45.0%
P3
42.4%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |