Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Kunin 46.1% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 57.1%
Defensive zone
Kunin 58.2%
Neutral zone
Kunin 60.0%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Veleno
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Veleno
Kunin
Last 10: Veleno 4-6 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
4
Veleno
Kunin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Kunin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
2
Veleno
Kunin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
47.1% (1,622)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
46.4% (138)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
40.2% (333)
-3.8%
On power play, Veleno has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Veleno is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (879).
Veleno shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kunin
Home
45.3% (1,136)
45.5% (1,048)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
46.4% (1,045)
By Period
Veleno
Kunin
P1
48.0%
47.9%
P2
47.7%
45.7%
P3
45.9%
43.9%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |