Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Poitras 45.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 59.6%
Defensive zone
Veleno 87.4%
Neutral zone
Veleno 73.3%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Veleno
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Veleno
Poitras
Last 8: Veleno 6-2 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Poitras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Poitras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
0
Veleno
Poitras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
43.6% (388)
+3.8%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
60.0% (10)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
66.7% (3)
-30.3%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Veleno is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (879).
Veleno shoots left. Poitras is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Veleno
Poitras
Home
45.3% (1,136)
43.6% (195)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
44.7% (206)
By Period
Veleno
Poitras
P1
48.0%
42.6%
P2
47.7%
45.5%
P3
45.9%
44.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |