Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Domi 48.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 58.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 71.9%
Neutral zone
Veleno 60.0%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Veleno
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Veleno
Domi
Last 10: Veleno 5-5 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
4
6
Veleno
Domi
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
5
Veleno
Domi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
48.1% (4,296)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
53.4% (633)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
48.8% (41)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Veleno shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Veleno
Domi
Home
45.3% (1,136)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Veleno
Domi
P1
48.0%
48.7%
P2
47.7%
48.3%
P3
45.9%
49.8%
OT
35.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 27, 2021 | OT | 02:09 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Max Domi |