Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Veleno wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs McLeod 59.6% (-18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 65.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 71.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 61.3%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Veleno
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Veleno
McLeod
Last 8: Veleno 4-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Veleno
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
61.5% (792)
-18.6%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
65.2% (23)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
55.6% (153)
-22.3%
On power play, McLeod has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Veleno is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Veleno shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Veleno
McLeod
Home
40.7% (327)
62.0% (460)
Away
44.4% (324)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Veleno
McLeod
P1
43.2%
61.5%
P2
42.0%
63.6%
P3
42.4%
56.2%
OT
50.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |