Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.9%). Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Zibanejad 51.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 50.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 50.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.6%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Veleno
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Veleno
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (262)
53.8% (591)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
43.6% (117)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Veleno is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Veleno shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Veleno
Zibanejad
Home
49.6% (123)
48.2% (307)
Away
52.5% (162)
54.4% (439)
By Period
Veleno
Zibanejad
P1
53.8%
54.0%
P2
47.8%
51.0%
P3
54.5%
50.6%
OT
25.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
61.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
51.2%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |