Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 51.8%). Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 51.1% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 51.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 50.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Veleno
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Veleno
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (272)
53.4% (770)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
44.7% (141)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Veleno is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Veleno shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Veleno
Zibanejad
Home
49.6% (123)
49.0% (429)
Away
52.8% (178)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Veleno
Zibanejad
P1
54.8%
53.0%
P2
49.2%
51.1%
P3
52.6%
51.0%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |