Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Stephens 52.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephens 53.1%
Defensive zone
Veleno 53.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 50.0%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Veleno
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Veleno
Stephens
Last 6: Veleno 3-3 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Veleno
Stephens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
2
Veleno
Stephens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Stephens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
57.0% (135)
-9.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (5)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
50.0% (54)
-25.0%
On power play, Veleno has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Veleno is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Veleno shoots left. Stephens is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Veleno
Stephens
Home
47.8% (201)
53.9% (89)
Away
46.1% (228)
53.3% (105)
By Period
Veleno
Stephens
P1
48.8%
47.4%
P2
47.9%
57.7%
P3
44.2%
57.4%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |