Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Kadri 48.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 75.9%
Defensive zone
Kadri 51.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 56.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Veleno
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Veleno
Kadri
Last 10: Veleno 7-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Veleno
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
4
1
Veleno
Kadri
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
48.2% (12,510)
-0.8%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
53.0% (1,892)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
41.0% (293)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Veleno shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kadri
Home
45.3% (1,136)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Veleno
Kadri
P1
48.0%
49.2%
P2
47.7%
48.8%
P3
45.9%
48.0%
OT
35.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |