Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Foligno 48.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 57.2%
Defensive zone
Veleno 73.6%
Neutral zone
Veleno 60.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Veleno
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Veleno
Foligno
Last 6: Veleno 1-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
5
Veleno
Foligno
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
48.3% (2,810)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
52.3% (730)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
44.0% (455)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Veleno shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Veleno
Foligno
Home
45.3% (1,136)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Veleno
Foligno
P1
48.0%
47.6%
P2
47.7%
50.4%
P3
45.9%
48.3%
OT
35.7%
29.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |