Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Veleno wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Foligno 48.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 56.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 59.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 57.9%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Veleno
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Veleno
Foligno
Last 5: Veleno 1-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
4
Veleno
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
48.7% (495)
-1.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.9% (65)
+43.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
43.8% (144)
-18.8%
On power play, Veleno has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Veleno shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Veleno
Foligno
Home
47.8% (201)
49.6% (359)
Away
46.1% (228)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Veleno
Foligno
P1
48.8%
46.7%
P2
47.9%
52.7%
P3
44.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |