Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Backstrom 50.3% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 65.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 68.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 69.8%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Veleno
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Veleno
Backstrom
Last 5: Veleno 1-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Veleno
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Veleno
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
51.4% (473)
-8.5%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
39.5% (38)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
33.3% (3)
+0.0%
On even strength, Backstrom has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Veleno
Backstrom
Home
40.7% (327)
53.6% (278)
Away
44.4% (324)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Veleno
Backstrom
P1
43.2%
51.5%
P2
42.0%
56.0%
P3
42.4%
43.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |