Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 51.4%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 51.1% vs Acciari 51.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 73.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 78.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 54.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 78.3%
21.7%
78.3%
Veleno
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Veleno
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Veleno
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (272)
53.0% (285)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
50.8% (183)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Veleno is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Veleno shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Veleno
Acciari
Home
49.6% (123)
53.2% (267)
Away
52.8% (178)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Veleno
Acciari
P1
54.8%
53.1%
P2
49.2%
51.1%
P3
52.6%
50.6%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |