Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Acciari 53.2% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 84.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 55.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 60.6%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Veleno
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Veleno
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Veleno
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Veleno
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Veleno
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
56.7% (393)
-9.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
48.0% (202)
-23.0%
On power play, Veleno has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Veleno is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Veleno shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Veleno
Acciari
Home
47.8% (201)
54.5% (279)
Away
46.1% (228)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Veleno
Acciari
P1
48.8%
56.9%
P2
47.9%
51.4%
P3
44.2%
53.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |