Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.5% vs 42.5%). Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Holmberg 44.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 51.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 57.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 52.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Veleno
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Veleno
Holmberg
Last 7: Veleno 5-2 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Holmberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Veleno
Holmberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
4
0
Veleno
Holmberg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
42.5% (207)
+0.4%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
40.0% (10)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Holmberg is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Veleno
Holmberg
Home
40.7% (327)
40.9% (127)
Away
44.4% (324)
44.6% (92)
By Period
Veleno
Holmberg
P1
43.2%
47.8%
P2
42.0%
43.8%
P3
42.4%
37.2%
Final 5 min
41.4%
34.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |