Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Thomas 52.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 65.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 60.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 62.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Veleno
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Veleno
Thomas
Last 8: Veleno 6-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
1
Veleno
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
53.2% (1,166)
-4.8%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
56.9% (262)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
48.4% (221)
-4.0%
On even strength, Thomas has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Veleno is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Veleno shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Veleno
Thomas
Home
48.8% (289)
51.6% (830)
Away
49.2% (333)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Veleno
Thomas
P1
46.1%
52.7%
P2
50.9%
55.6%
P3
49.7%
50.6%
OT
66.7%
61.5%
Final 5 min
52.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:33 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |