Joe Veleno vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 51.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.7%
Defensive zone
Veleno 62.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.8%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (272)
47.6% (231)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
33.3% (21)
+4.6%
On even strength, Veleno has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Veleno is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Veleno shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.6% (123)
51.2% (164)
Away
52.8% (178)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.8%
50.0%
P2
49.2%
46.2%
P3
52.6%
49.5%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |