Joe Veleno vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 50.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 52.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.5%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (262)
47.6% (189)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
29.4% (17)
+1.0%
On even strength, Veleno has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Veleno is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Veleno shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.6% (123)
48.5% (132)
Away
52.5% (162)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.8%
51.4%
P2
47.8%
41.3%
P3
54.5%
48.5%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
51.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |