Joe Veleno vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.0%
Defensive zone
Veleno 55.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
50.3% (479)
-3.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (28)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
30.0% (50)
-5.0%
On power play, Veleno has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Veleno shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.8% (201)
48.9% (270)
Away
46.1% (228)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Veleno
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.8%
48.7%
P2
47.9%
50.0%
P3
44.2%
47.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |