Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 46.3%). Look for Helenius on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Helenius 46.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 57.6%
Defensive zone
Helenius 62.2%
Neutral zone
Helenius 60.8%
Result
Samuel Helenius favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Veleno
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Veleno
Helenius
Last 8: Veleno 1-7 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
2
Veleno
Helenius
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Veleno
Helenius
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
1
4
Veleno
Helenius
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
46.8% (477)
+0.6%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
0.0% (2)
+51.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
20.0% (5)
+16.4%
On power play, Veleno has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Veleno shoots left. Helenius is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Veleno
Helenius
Home
45.3% (1,136)
45.1% (266)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
47.7% (218)
By Period
Veleno
Helenius
P1
48.0%
51.0%
P2
47.7%
39.9%
P3
45.9%
47.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |