Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.9% vs 46.4%). Look for Helenius on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Veleno wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Helenius 47.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 59.0%
Defensive zone
Veleno 57.3%
Neutral zone
Helenius 53.9%
Result
Samuel Helenius favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Veleno
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Veleno
Helenius
Last 8: Veleno 1-7 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
2
Veleno
Helenius
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Veleno
Helenius
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
1
4
Veleno
Helenius
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
46.7% (276)
+0.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On power play, Veleno has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Veleno shoots left. Helenius is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Veleno
Helenius
Home
47.8% (201)
43.5% (168)
Away
46.1% (228)
50.9% (110)
By Period
Veleno
Helenius
P1
48.8%
50.0%
P2
47.9%
41.5%
P3
44.2%
47.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |