Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Couturier 52.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 64.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 71.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 63.7%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Veleno
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Veleno
Couturier
Last 10: Veleno 2-8 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
6
Veleno
Couturier
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Veleno
Couturier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Veleno
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
52.5% (11,063)
-5.1%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
59.7% (1,280)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
48.5% (1,816)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Veleno shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Veleno
Couturier
Home
45.3% (1,136)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Veleno
Couturier
P1
48.0%
52.5%
P2
47.7%
52.6%
P3
45.9%
52.9%
OT
35.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |