Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 51.1% vs Wright 41.4% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 61.0%
Defensive zone
Veleno 92.3%
Neutral zone
Veleno 79.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Veleno
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Veleno
Wright
Last 5: Veleno 4-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (272)
39.5% (453)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
0.0% (1)
+37.9%
On penalty kill, Veleno has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Veleno is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Veleno shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Veleno
Wright
Home
49.6% (123)
39.5% (286)
Away
52.8% (178)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Veleno
Wright
P1
54.8%
39.9%
P2
49.2%
37.1%
P3
52.6%
42.9%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |