Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Steckel wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 57.4% vs Vitale 55.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 76.9%
Defensive zone
Vitale 55.6%
Neutral zone
Vitale 67.9%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Steckel
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Steckel
Vitale
Last 7: Steckel 2-5 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
2
Steckel
Vitale
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
2
Steckel
Vitale
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
1
Steckel
Vitale
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (759)
55.9% (646)
+1.5%
Power Play
59.5% (37)
100.0% (12)
-40.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (292)
47.5% (61)
+11.1%
On power play, Vitale has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Steckel is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Steckel shoots left. Vitale is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Steckel
Vitale
Home
63.3% (510)
56.9% (383)
Away
53.5% (598)
54.4% (340)
By Period
Steckel
Vitale
P1
59.0%
51.5%
P2
59.9%
58.2%
P3
55.1%
56.8%
OT
66.7%
80.0%
Final 5 min
59.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
58.0%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | David Steckel |