Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Vitale wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 55.0% vs Mitchell 51.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 57.5%
Defensive zone
Vitale 55.3%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 54.1%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Vitale
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Vitale
Mitchell
Last 10: Vitale 3-7 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Mitchell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
8
Vitale
Mitchell
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (646)
51.4% (175)
+4.5%
Power Play
100.0% (12)
54.2% (24)
+45.8%
On power play, Vitale has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Vitale is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Vitale shoots right. Mitchell is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Vitale
Mitchell
Home
56.9% (383)
55.0% (109)
Away
54.4% (340)
47.8% (90)
By Period
Vitale
Mitchell
P1
51.5%
56.1%
P2
58.2%
50.6%
P3
56.8%
48.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | John Mitchell |