Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Mitchell 51.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 52.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 54.6%
Neutral zone
Vitale 50.5%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Vitale
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Vitale
Mitchell
Last 10: Vitale 4-6 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
1
Vitale
Mitchell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Mitchell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
10
Vitale
Mitchell
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
51.8% (2,965)
+4.1%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
54.1% (196)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
44.1% (401)
+3.0%
On power play, Vitale has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Home / Away
Vitale
Mitchell
Home
56.1% (1,050)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Vitale
Mitchell
P1
52.9%
52.0%
P2
53.8%
49.9%
P3
57.5%
50.9%
OT
72.7%
69.2%
Final 5 min
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Oct 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | John Mitchell |