Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Hayes 47.7% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.8%
Defensive zone
Vitale 74.7%
Neutral zone
Vitale 53.8%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Vitale
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Vitale
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Vitale
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
47.5% (6,708)
+8.4%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
51.7% (702)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
45.3% (697)
+1.8%
On power play, Vitale has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Vitale
Hayes
Home
56.1% (1,050)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Vitale
Hayes
P1
52.9%
47.5%
P2
53.8%
47.6%
P3
57.5%
47.9%
OT
72.7%
54.1%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |