Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +19.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Olver on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Olver shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 55.0% vs Olver 43.5% (+19.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 50.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 69.5%
Neutral zone
Vitale 51.4%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Vitale
Olver
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Vitale
Olver
Last 5: Vitale 2-3 Olver
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Olver
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Olver
1
2
Vitale
Olver
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Olver
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (646)
35.3% (85)
+20.6%
Power Play
100.0% (12)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (61)
0.0% (2)
+47.5%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +47.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Olver shoots left. Vitale is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Vitale shoots right. Olver is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Vitale
Olver
Home
56.9% (383)
40.0% (50)
Away
54.4% (340)
31.7% (41)
By Period
Vitale
Olver
P1
51.5%
26.1%
P2
58.2%
40.6%
P3
56.8%
38.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Mark Olver |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Olver |