Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Olver on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Olver shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Olver 43.0% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Olver 77.0%
Defensive zone
Vitale 66.3%
Neutral zone
Olver 63.2%
Result
Mark Olver favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Vitale
Olver
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Vitale
Olver
Last 6: Vitale 2-4 Olver
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Olver
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Olver
1
3
Vitale
Olver
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Olver
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
40.3% (236)
+15.6%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
53.3% (15)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
0.0% (5)
+47.1%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Olver shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Olver is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Vitale
Olver
Home
56.1% (1,050)
39.4% (132)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
41.3% (126)
By Period
Vitale
Olver
P1
52.9%
37.8%
P2
53.8%
41.3%
P3
57.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Mark Olver |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Mark Olver |