Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Granlund 41.4% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 75.7%
Defensive zone
Vitale 56.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 63.5%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Vitale
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Vitale
Granlund
Last 6: Vitale 2-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Vitale
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Vitale
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
41.3% (1,525)
+14.6%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
45.1% (91)
+30.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
32.8% (119)
+14.3%
On power play, Vitale has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Granlund is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Home / Away
Vitale
Granlund
Home
56.1% (1,050)
43.1% (886)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
38.6% (849)
By Period
Vitale
Granlund
P1
52.9%
42.9%
P2
53.8%
39.1%
P3
57.5%
41.1%
OT
72.7%
26.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 12:23 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |