Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Vitale wins 66.2% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 58.0% vs Reasoner 51.9% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Vitale 84.0%
Defensive zone
Vitale 61.0%
Neutral zone
Vitale 87.3%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Vitale
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Vitale
Reasoner
Last 10: Vitale 7-3 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
4
1
Vitale
Reasoner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
2
Vitale
Reasoner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
0
Vitale
Reasoner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (251)
55.3% (244)
+4.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
35.3% (51)
+64.7%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Vitale is 66.2% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Vitale shoots right. Reasoner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Vitale
Reasoner
Home
62.8% (121)
50.0% (142)
Away
59.6% (136)
54.8% (157)
By Period
Vitale
Reasoner
P1
51.8%
49.0%
P2
57.1%
60.0%
P3
73.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
65.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
61.1%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |