Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Reasoner 53.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Vitale 56.0%
Defensive zone
Vitale 54.4%
Neutral zone
Vitale 54.2%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Vitale
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Vitale
Reasoner
Last 10: Vitale 7-3 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Vitale
Reasoner
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Vitale
Reasoner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
4
2
Vitale
Reasoner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
55.7% (1,642)
+0.2%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
56.9% (72)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
45.5% (413)
+1.6%
On power play, Vitale has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Reasoner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Vitale
Reasoner
Home
56.1% (1,050)
55.4% (1,032)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
52.4% (1,123)
By Period
Vitale
Reasoner
P1
52.9%
53.1%
P2
53.8%
53.1%
P3
57.5%
55.3%
OT
72.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 04:04 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |