Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Read 42.2% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Read 69.1%
Defensive zone
Vitale 80.0%
Neutral zone
Read 51.7%
Result
Matt Read favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Vitale
Read
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Vitale
Read
Last 9: Vitale 4-5 Read
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Read
1
3
Vitale
Read
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Read
0
2
Vitale
Read
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
0
Vitale
Read
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Read
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
42.0% (395)
+13.9%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
41.5% (41)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
33.3% (87)
+13.8%
On power play, Vitale has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Read shoots right. Vitale is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (668).
Vitale shoots right. Read is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Vitale
Read
Home
56.1% (1,050)
42.8% (250)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
38.8% (276)
By Period
Vitale
Read
P1
52.9%
42.5%
P2
53.8%
41.5%
P3
57.5%
38.1%
OT
72.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.0%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Matt Read |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Matt Read |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Matt Read |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Matt Read |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Matt Read |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |