Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.7%). Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 48.5% vs Richards 48.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 60.4%
Defensive zone
Vitale 80.4%
Neutral zone
Vitale 60.4%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Vitale
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Vitale
Richards
Last 5: Vitale 1-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Vitale
Richards
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Vitale
Richards
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Vitale
Richards
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (539)
49.5% (529)
+1.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
44.4% (36)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (189)
39.3% (28)
+2.0%
On power play, Richards has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Vitale is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Vitale shoots right. Richards is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Vitale
Richards
Home
46.9% (371)
47.9% (292)
Away
49.7% (362)
49.5% (301)
By Period
Vitale
Richards
P1
52.9%
46.0%
P2
44.2%
52.0%
P3
47.9%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.3%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Mike Richards |