Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Richards 50.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 63.5%
Defensive zone
Vitale 76.8%
Neutral zone
Vitale 56.5%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Vitale
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Vitale
Richards
Last 7: Vitale 3-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Richards
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Vitale
Richards
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Vitale
Richards
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
50.0% (3,722)
+5.9%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
54.6% (445)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
51.4% (502)
-4.3%
On power play, Vitale has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Home / Away
Vitale
Richards
Home
56.1% (1,050)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Vitale
Richards
P1
52.9%
49.6%
P2
53.8%
52.3%
P3
57.5%
49.3%
OT
72.7%
58.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |