Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Bonino 50.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Vitale 77.5%
Defensive zone
Vitale 85.7%
Neutral zone
Vitale 79.5%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Vitale
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Vitale
Bonino
Last 10: Vitale 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
7
2
Vitale
Bonino
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
1
Vitale
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
50.6% (8,315)
+5.3%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
54.1% (972)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
44.6% (1,693)
+2.5%
On power play, Vitale has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Vitale
Bonino
Home
56.1% (1,050)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Vitale
Bonino
P1
52.9%
50.6%
P2
53.8%
48.5%
P3
57.5%
51.1%
OT
72.7%
45.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |