Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 65.6%
Defensive zone
Vitale 59.5%
Neutral zone
Vitale 53.0%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Vitale
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Vitale
Horcoff
Last 9: Vitale 3-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
3
Vitale
Horcoff
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
3
Vitale
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
50.6% (3,133)
+5.3%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
51.4% (555)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
43.0% (567)
+4.1%
On power play, Vitale has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Vitale
Horcoff
Home
56.1% (1,050)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Vitale
Horcoff
P1
52.9%
48.2%
P2
53.8%
49.5%
P3
57.5%
50.9%
OT
72.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | OT | 00:34 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |