Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 66.2% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 58.0% vs Matthias 45.4% (+17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 59.3%
Defensive zone
Vitale 71.2%
Neutral zone
Vitale 72.8%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Vitale
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Vitale
Matthias
Last 5: Vitale 3-2 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Vitale
Matthias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Matthias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Matthias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (251)
43.2% (310)
+17.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.1% (21)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
43.8% (16)
+56.2%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Vitale is 66.2% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Vitale shoots right. Matthias is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Vitale
Matthias
Home
62.8% (121)
40.7% (172)
Away
59.6% (136)
47.4% (175)
By Period
Vitale
Matthias
P1
51.8%
47.4%
P2
57.1%
46.0%
P3
73.3%
39.4%
Final 5 min
65.5%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
61.1%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |