Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Matthias 46.6% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Vitale 58.1%
Defensive zone
Vitale 79.3%
Neutral zone
Vitale 68.5%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Vitale
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Vitale
Matthias
Last 10: Vitale 4-6 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Vitale
Matthias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
4
2
Vitale
Matthias
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
4
5
Vitale
Matthias
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
46.4% (1,716)
+9.5%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
56.3% (103)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
41.7% (175)
+5.4%
On power play, Vitale has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Matthias is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Vitale
Matthias
Home
56.1% (1,050)
46.9% (933)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Vitale
Matthias
P1
52.9%
47.8%
P2
53.8%
49.4%
P3
57.5%
41.6%
OT
72.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 02:45 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |