Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vitale wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 55.0% vs Kopecky 51.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 56.7%
Defensive zone
Vitale 84.0%
Neutral zone
Vitale 67.2%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Vitale
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Vitale
Kopecky
Last 5: Vitale 4-1 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
1
Vitale
Kopecky
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Kopecky
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (646)
49.7% (165)
+6.2%
Power Play
100.0% (12)
54.0% (50)
+46.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (61)
60.5% (43)
-13.0%
On power play, Vitale has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Vitale is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Vitale shoots right. Kopecky is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Vitale
Kopecky
Home
56.9% (383)
55.8% (147)
Away
54.4% (340)
48.7% (119)
By Period
Vitale
Kopecky
P1
51.5%
49.4%
P2
58.2%
47.4%
P3
56.8%
60.6%
OT
80.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2011 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |