Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Kopecky 47.2% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 67.9%
Defensive zone
Vitale 95.8%
Neutral zone
Vitale 85.6%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 94.1%
94.1%
5.9%
Vitale
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Vitale
Kopecky
Last 6: Vitale 5-1 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
4
1
Vitale
Kopecky
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Kopecky
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
47.3% (438)
+8.6%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
42.3% (142)
+33.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
51.3% (80)
-4.2%
On power play, Vitale has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Kopecky is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Vitale
Kopecky
Home
56.1% (1,050)
51.9% (364)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
40.7% (305)
By Period
Vitale
Kopecky
P1
52.9%
47.4%
P2
53.8%
42.5%
P3
57.5%
49.3%
OT
72.7%
58.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2011 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Oct 11, 2011 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |