Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Ek 49.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 67.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 91.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 79.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Ryan
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Ryan
Ek
Last 8: Ryan 5-3 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
3
Ryan
Ek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
0
Ryan
Ek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
47.7% (1,023)
+13.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
60.2% (362)
+39.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
41.5% (217)
+4.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Ek is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Ryan
Ek
Home
56.7% (201)
48.3% (801)
Away
54.8% (208)
51.1% (801)
By Period
Ryan
Ek
P1
56.7%
50.2%
P2
56.8%
50.1%
P3
53.7%
49.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |