Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Ek 49.7% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 86.5%
Defensive zone
Ek 55.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 70.4%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Carter
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Carter
Ek
Last 7: Carter 2-5 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
3
Carter
Ek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Ek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Carter
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
47.7% (1,023)
+17.9%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
60.2% (362)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
41.5% (217)
+9.0%
On even strength, Carter has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Ek is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Carter
Ek
Home
64.3% (207)
48.3% (801)
Away
60.8% (217)
51.1% (801)
By Period
Carter
Ek
P1
65.3%
50.2%
P2
60.1%
50.1%
P3
63.8%
49.3%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |