Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ek wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 46.4% vs Hayes 49.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 57.3%
Defensive zone
Ek 59.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 57.0%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Ek
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Ek
Hayes
Last 10: Ek 3-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Ek
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
1
Ek
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
4
Ek
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (482)
50.5% (764)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.3% (90)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
29.5% (44)
38.6% (127)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Ek is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Ek shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Ek
Hayes
Home
48.4% (254)
49.0% (531)
Away
43.4% (286)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Ek
Hayes
P1
44.8%
52.3%
P2
46.9%
45.8%
P3
45.3%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |