Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Hayes 42.7% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 65.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 81.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 65.1%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Ek
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ek
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
31.9% (91)
+15.3%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
64.3% (14)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
0.0% (1)
+47.8%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Ek
Hayes
Home
49.9% (693)
30.6% (49)
Away
47.2% (568)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Ek
Hayes
P1
46.2%
22.9%
P2
52.6%
40.0%
P3
46.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.2%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |